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Research Output 1991 2019

2019
2 Citations (Scopus)

A global climatology of extratropical transition. Part I: Characteristics across basins

Bieli, M., Camargo, S. J., Sobel, A. H., Evans, J. & Hall, T., Jun 1 2019, In : Journal of Climate. 32, 12, p. 3557-3582 26 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
climatology
basin
Australian Region
trajectory
1 Citation (Scopus)

A global climatology of extratropical transition. Part II: Statistical performance of the cyclone phase space

Bieli, M., Camargo, S. J., Sobel, A. H., Evans, J. & Hall, T., Jun 1 2019, In : Journal of Climate. 32, 12, p. 3583-3597 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclone
climatology
basin
tropical cyclone
3 Citations (Scopus)

The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones. Part II: Interaction with the midlatitude flow, downstream impacts, and implications for predictability

Keller, J. H., Grams, C. M., Riemer, M., Archambault, H. M., Bosart, L., Doyle, J. D., Evans, J., Galarneau, T. J., Griffin, K., Harr, P. A., Kitabatake, N., McTaggart-Cowan, R., Pantillon, F., Quinting, J. F., Reynolds, C. A., Ritchie, E. A., Torn, R. D. & Zhang, F., Apr 1 2019, In : Monthly Weather Review. 147, 4, p. 1077-1106 30 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

tropical cyclone
cyclone
weather
diabatic process
Rossby wave
2018

Relationship between the track and structural evolution of Hurricane Sandy (2012) using a regional ensemble

Kowaleski, A. M. & Evans, J., Dec 1 2018, In : Monthly Weather Review. 146, 12, p. 4279-4302 24 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

trough
simulation
weather
potential vorticity
cyclone
2 Citations (Scopus)

Use of ensemble forecasts to investigate synoptic influences on the structural evolution and predictability of Hurricane Alex (2016) in the midlatitudes

González-Alemán, J. J., Evans, J. & Kowaleski, A. M., Jan 1 2018, In : Monthly Weather Review. 146, 10, p. 3143-3162 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

hurricane
cyclone
hurricane event
low pressure system
cold front
2017

The relationship between the Guinea Highlands and the West African offshore rainfall maximum

Hamilton, H. L., Young, G. S., Evans, J., Fuentes, J. & Núñez Ocasio, K. M., Jan 28 2017, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 44, 2, p. 1158-1166 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Guinea
highlands
rainfall
monsoons
rain
2016
1 Citation (Scopus)

A reformulation of tropical cyclone potential intensity theory incorporating energy production along a radial trajectory

Kowaleski, A. M. & Evans, J., Jan 1 2016, In : Monthly Weather Review. 144, 10, p. 3569-3578 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
trajectory
dissipation
wind velocity
surface layer
5 Citations (Scopus)

Mixture-based path clustering for synthesis of ECMWF ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone evolution

Don, P. K., Evans, J., Chiaromonte, F. & Kowaleski, A. M., Jan 1 2016, In : Monthly Weather Review. 144, 9, p. 3301-3320 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
aid
trajectory
forecast
6 Citations (Scopus)

Regression mixture model clustering of multimodel ensemble forecasts of hurricane sandy: Partition characteristics

Kowaleski, A. M. & Evans, J., Jan 1 2016, In : Monthly Weather Review. 144, 10, p. 3825-3846 22 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

hurricane
cyclone
forecast
potential temperature
geopotential
2015
15 Citations (Scopus)

Classification and synoptic analysis of subtropical cyclones within the northeastern Atlantic Ocean

González-Alemán, J. J., Valero, F., Martín-León, F. & Evans, J., Jan 1 2015, In : Journal of Climate. 28, 8, p. 3331-3352 22 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclone
ocean
cyclogenesis
westerly
atmospheric circulation
3 Citations (Scopus)

Thermodynamic observations and flux calculations of the tropical cyclone surface layer within the context of potential intensity

Kowaleski, A. M. & Evans, J., Jan 1 2015, In : Weather and Forecasting. 30, 5, p. 1303-1320 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
surface layer
thermodynamics
entropy
enthalpy
2014
2 Citations (Scopus)

A variable sea surface temperature threshold for tropical convection

Evans, J. & Webster, C. C., Jan 1 2014, In : Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal. 64, 1, p. S1-S8

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

sea surface temperature
convection
wet season
dry season
cyclogenesis
2013
12 Citations (Scopus)

Long-term variations of North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity downscaled from a coupled model simulation of the last millennium

Kozar, M. E., Mann, M., Emanuel, K. A. & Evans, J., Dec 27 2013, In : Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres. 118, 24, p. 13383-13392 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclones
hurricanes
tropical cyclone
simulation models
simulation
2012
39 Citations (Scopus)

A climatology of subtropical cyclones in the South Atlantic

Evans, J. & Braun, A., 2012, In : Journal of Climate. 25, 21, p. 7328-7340 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
cyclone
climatology
lee cyclogenesis
wave breaking
17 Citations (Scopus)

Future changes in the South Asian summer monsoon: An analysis of the CMIP3 multimodel projections

Fan, F., Mann, M., Lee, S. & Evans, J., Jun 1 2012, In : Journal of Climate. 25, 11, p. 3909-3928 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

monsoon
heating
summer
energy budget
thermodynamics
6 Citations (Scopus)

Large-scale diagnostics of tropical cyclogenesis potential using environment variability metrics and logistic regression models

Waters, J. J., Evans, J. & Forest, C., Sep 1 2012, In : Journal of Climate. 25, 18, p. 6092-6107 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclogenesis
logistics
principal component analysis
seasonality
general circulation model
8 Citations (Scopus)
tropical cyclone
climate modeling
sea surface temperature
convection
oceanic general circulation model
17 Citations (Scopus)

Stratified statistical models of North Atlantic basin-wide and regional tropical cyclone counts

Kozar, M. E., Mann, M., Camargo, S. J., Kossin, J. P. & Evans, J., Jan 1 2012, In : Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres. 117, 17, D18103.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclones
hurricanes
statistical models
tropical cyclone
basins
2011
29 Citations (Scopus)

Characteristics of the TIGGE multimodel ensemble prediction system in representing forecast variability associated with extratropical transition

Keller, J. H., Jones, S. C., Evans, J. & Harr, P. A., Jun 1 2011, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 38, 12, L12802.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

forecasting
prediction
predictions
cyclones
tropical cyclone
2010
29 Citations (Scopus)

Observed and modeled changes in the South Asian summer monsoon over the historical period

Fan, F., Mann, M., Lee, S. & Evans, J., Oct 1 2010, In : Journal of Climate. 23, 19, p. 5193-5205 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

monsoon
summer
simulation
El Nino-Southern Oscillation
CMIP
2009
38 Citations (Scopus)

Atlantic subtropical storms. Part I: Diagnostic criteria and composite analysis

Evans, J. & Guishard, M. P., Oct 29 2009, In : Monthly Weather Review. 137, 7, p. 2065-2080 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclone
hurricane
sea surface temperature
climatology
trough
40 Citations (Scopus)

Atlantic subtropical storms. Part II: Climatology

Guishard, M. P., Evans, J. & Hart, R. E., 2009, In : Journal of Climate. 22, 13, p. 3574-3594 21 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclone
climatology
hurricane
sea surface temperature
cyclogenesis
8 Citations (Scopus)

Novel metrics for evaluation of ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone structure

Veren, D., Evans, J., Jones, S. & Chiaromonte, F., 2009, In : Monthly Weather Review. 137, 9, p. 2830-2850 21 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
prediction
cyclone
evaluation
forecast
10 Citations (Scopus)

Potential impacts of the Saharan air layer on numerical model forecasts of north atlantic tropical cyclogenesis

Pratt, A. S. & Evans, J., Apr 2009, In : Weather and Forecasting. 24, 2, p. 420-435 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclogenesis
tropical cyclone
air
easterly wave
basin
2007

Analysis of ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclone structure through extratropical transition

Evans, J. & Veren, D. B., Dec 1 2007.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

tropical cyclone
forecast
analysis
11 Citations (Scopus)

Bermuda subtropical storms

Guishard, M. P., Nelson, E. A., Evans, J., Hart, R. E. & O'Connell, D. G., Aug 1 2007, In : Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics. 97, 1-4, p. 239-253 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclone
wind shear
trough
weather
water
17 Citations (Scopus)

Comparison of observed gale radius statistics

Moyer, A. C., Evans, J. & Powell, M., Aug 1 2007, In : Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics. 97, 1-4, p. 41-55 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

statistics
comparison
hurricane
cyclogenesis
systems analysis
2006
21 Citations (Scopus)

Evaluation of operational model cyclone structure forecasts during extratropical transition

Evans, J., Arnott, J. M. & Chiaromonte, F., Nov 2006, In : Monthly Weather Review. 134, 11, p. 3054-3072 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclone
weather
evaluation
forecast
structural change

Phase space-based evaluation of numerical forecasts of cyclone structure evolution

Evans, J., Arnott, J. M. & Chiaromonte, F., 2006, 27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

cyclone
evaluation
forecast
51 Citations (Scopus)

Synoptic composites of the extratropical transition life cycle of North Atlantic tropical cyclones: Factors determining posttransition evolution

Hart, R. E., Evans, J. & Evans, C., Feb 1 2006, In : Monthly Weather Review. 134, 2, p. 553-578 26 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
eddy
life cycle
trough
cyclone
2004

2001-2003 Real-time use of cyclone phase diagrams to improve structural diagnosis & forecasting

Hart, R. E. & Evans, J., Jul 14 2004, p. 407-408. 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Phase diagrams
1 Citation (Scopus)

Analysis of operational model forecast trends in extratropical transition storm structure

Evans, J. & Arnott, J. M., Jul 14 2004, p. 50-51. 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Vortex flow
Life cycle
Inspection
2 Citations (Scopus)

A proposed potential vorticity mechanism for sub-tropical cyclogenesis and tropical transition

Evans, J. & Guishard, M. P., Jul 14 2004, p. 411-412. 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Vorticity
23 Citations (Scopus)

Characterization of extratropical transition using cluster analysis

Arnott, J. M., Evans, J. & Chiaromonte, F., Dec 1 2004, In : Monthly Weather Review. 132, 12, p. 2916-2937 22 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclone
cluster analysis
tropical cyclone
prediction
climatology

Characterization of extratropical transition using cluster analysis

Arnott, J. M. & Evans, J., 2004, In : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. p. 2127-2131 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

cyclone
cluster analysis
tropical cyclone
10 Citations (Scopus)

Factors affecting the posttransition intensification of Hurricane Irene (1999)

Evans, J. & Prater-Mayes, B. E., Jun 1 2004, In : Monthly Weather Review. 132, 6, p. 1355-1368 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

hurricane
cyclogenesis
potential vorticity
trough
coast
cyclone
trajectory

Synoptic composites of the extratropical transition lifecycle of North Atlantic TCs as defined within cyclone phase space

Hart, R. E. & Evans, J., Jul 14 2004, p. 681-682. 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaper

Atmospheric movements
Weather forecasting
Wind effects
Meteorology
Climate change
2003
18 Citations (Scopus)

Global and regional diurnal variations of organized convection

Tsakraklides, G. & Evans, J., May 15 2003, In : Journal of Climate. 16, 10, p. 1562-1572 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

convective cloud
diurnal variation
convection
life cycle
symmetry
113 Citations (Scopus)

Objective indicators of the life cycle evolution of extratropical transition for Atlantic tropical cyclones

Evans, J. & Hart, R. E., May 1 2003, In : Monthly Weather Review. 131, 5, p. 909-925 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
life cycle
hurricane
storm track
cyclone
312 Citations (Scopus)

The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: Forecast challenges, current understanding, and future directions

Jones, S. C., Harr, P. A., Abraham, J., Bosart, L. F., Bowyer, P. J., Evans, J., Hanley, D. E., Hanstrum, B. N., Hart, R. E., Lalaurette, F., Sinclair, M. R., Smith, R. K. & Thorncroft, C., Dec 1 2003, In : Weather and Forecasting. 18, 6, p. 1052-1092 41 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
midlatitude environment
frontogenesis
potential vorticity
energy budget
2002
16 Citations (Scopus)

Comparison of the structure of the ITCZ in the West Pacific during the boreal summers of 1989-93 using AMIP simulations and ECMWF reanalysis

Chan, S. C. & Evans, J., Dec 15 2002, In : Journal of Climate. 15, 24, p. 3549-3568 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

intertropical convergence zone
confluence
trough
weather
general circulation model
35 Citations (Scopus)

Idealized numerical simulations of hurricane-trough interaction

Kimball, S. K. & Evans, J., Jan 1 2002, In : Monthly Weather Review. 130, 9, p. 2210-2227 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

hurricane
trough
simulation
asymmetry
subsidence
17 Citations (Scopus)
tropical cyclone
hurricane
parameterization
warming
open ocean
2001
205 Citations (Scopus)

A climatology of the extratropical transition of Atlantic tropical cyclones

Hart, R. E. & Evans, J., Feb 15 2001, In : Journal of Climate. 14, 4, p. 546-564 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

tropical cyclone
climatology
cyclone
storm track
coast
3 Citations (Scopus)

Satellite-based monitoring of intraseasonal variations in tropical Pacific and Atlantic convection

Evans, J. & Jaskiewicz, F. A., Apr 15 2001, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 28, 8, p. 1511-1514 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

intraseasonal variations
convection
Madden-Julian Oscillation
Madden-Julian oscillation
monitoring
2000
857 Citations (Scopus)

Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: A brief review

Easterling, D. R., Evans, J., Groisman, P. Y., Karl, T. R., Kunkel, K. E. & Ambenje, P., Jan 1 2000, In : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 81, 3, p. 417-425 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalShort survey

climate
extreme event
economics
trend
world
19 Citations (Scopus)

The effect of global climate change on the regions of tropical convection in CSM1

Dutton, J. F., Poulsen, C. J. & Evans, J., Jan 1 2000, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 27, 19, p. 3049-3052 4 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

climate change
global climate
convection
thresholds
carbon dioxide concentration
325 Citations (Scopus)

Trends in extreme weather and climate events: Issues related to modeling extremes in projections of future climate change

Meehl, G. A., Zwiers, F., Evans, J., Knutson, T., Mearns, L. & Whetton, P., Jan 1 2000, In : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 81, 3, p. 427-436 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

weather
climate change
climate
modeling
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change