Challenges in developing DDDAS based methodology for volcanic ash hazard analysis - Effect of numerical weather prediction variability and parameter estimation

A. K. Patra, M. Bursik, J. Dehn, M. Jones, R. Madankan, D. Morton, M. Pavolonis, E. B. Pitman, S. Pouget, T. Singh, Puneet Singla, E. R. Stefanescu, P. Webley

Research output: Contribution to journalConference article

9 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this paper, we will present ongoing work on using a dynamic data driven application system (DDDAS) based approach to the forecast of volcanic ash transport and dispersal. Our primary modeling tool will be a new code puffin formed by the combination of a plume eruption model Bent and the ash transport model Puff. Data from satellite imagery, observation of vent parameters and windfields will drive our simulations. We will use ensemble based uncertainty quantification and parameter estimation methodology - polynomial chaos quadrature in combination with data integration to complete the DDDAS loop.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1871-1880
Number of pages10
JournalProcedia Computer Science
Volume18
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2013
Event13th Annual International Conference on Computational Science, ICCS 2013 - Barcelona, Spain
Duration: Jun 5 2013Jun 7 2013

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Ashes
Parameter estimation
Hazards
Satellite imagery
Data integration
Vents
Chaos theory
Polynomials

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Computer Science(all)

Cite this

Patra, A. K. ; Bursik, M. ; Dehn, J. ; Jones, M. ; Madankan, R. ; Morton, D. ; Pavolonis, M. ; Pitman, E. B. ; Pouget, S. ; Singh, T. ; Singla, Puneet ; Stefanescu, E. R. ; Webley, P. / Challenges in developing DDDAS based methodology for volcanic ash hazard analysis - Effect of numerical weather prediction variability and parameter estimation. In: Procedia Computer Science. 2013 ; Vol. 18. pp. 1871-1880.
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Patra, AK, Bursik, M, Dehn, J, Jones, M, Madankan, R, Morton, D, Pavolonis, M, Pitman, EB, Pouget, S, Singh, T, Singla, P, Stefanescu, ER & Webley, P 2013, 'Challenges in developing DDDAS based methodology for volcanic ash hazard analysis - Effect of numerical weather prediction variability and parameter estimation', Procedia Computer Science, vol. 18, pp. 1871-1880. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2013.05.356

Challenges in developing DDDAS based methodology for volcanic ash hazard analysis - Effect of numerical weather prediction variability and parameter estimation. / Patra, A. K.; Bursik, M.; Dehn, J.; Jones, M.; Madankan, R.; Morton, D.; Pavolonis, M.; Pitman, E. B.; Pouget, S.; Singh, T.; Singla, Puneet; Stefanescu, E. R.; Webley, P.

In: Procedia Computer Science, Vol. 18, 01.01.2013, p. 1871-1880.

Research output: Contribution to journalConference article

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AU - Patra, A. K.

AU - Bursik, M.

AU - Dehn, J.

AU - Jones, M.

AU - Madankan, R.

AU - Morton, D.

AU - Pavolonis, M.

AU - Pitman, E. B.

AU - Pouget, S.

AU - Singh, T.

AU - Singla, Puneet

AU - Stefanescu, E. R.

AU - Webley, P.

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