Cross-product manipulation in electricity markets, microstructure models and asymmetric information

Chiara Lo Prete, William W. Hogan, Bingyuan Liu, Jia Wang

Research output: Contribution to journalReview article

Abstract

Electricity market manipulation enforcement actions have moved from conventional analysis of generator market power in real-time physical markets to material allegations of sustained cross-product price manipulation in forward financial markets. A major challenge is to develop and apply forward market analytical frameworks and models. This task is more difficult than for the real-time market. An adaptation of cross-product manipulation models from cash-settled financial markets provides an existence demonstration under uncertainty and asymmetric information. The implications of this analysis include strong empirical predictions about necessary randomized strategies that are not likely to be observed or sustainable in electricity markets. Absent these randomized strategies and other market imperfections, the means for achieving sustained forward market price manipulation remains unexplained.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)221-246
Number of pages26
JournalEnergy Journal
Volume40
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2019

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Energy(all)

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