Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers?

Thomas R. Robbins, D. J. Medeiros, Terry Paul Harrison

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

8 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We consider the Erlang C model, a queuing model commonly used to analyze call center performance. Erlang C is a simple model that ignores caller abandonment and is the model most commonly used by practitioners and researchers. We compare the theoretical performance predictions of the Erlang C model to a call center simulation model where many of the Erlang C assumptions are relaxed. Our findings indicate that the Erlang C model is subject to significant error in predicting system performance, but that these errors are heavily biased and most likely to be pessimistic, i.e. the system tends to perform better than predicted. It may be the case that the model's tendency to provide pessimistic (i.e. conservative) estimates helps explain its continued popularity. Prediction error is strongly correlated with the abandonment rate so the model works best in call centers with large numbers of agents and relatively low utilization rates.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10
Pages2853-2864
Number of pages12
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 1 2010
Event2010 43rd Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10 - Baltimore, MD, United States
Duration: Dec 5 2010Dec 8 2010

Publication series

NameProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
ISSN (Print)0891-7736

Other

Other2010 43rd Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10
CountryUnited States
CityBaltimore, MD
Period12/5/1012/8/10

Fingerprint

Call Centres
Model
Queuing Model
Performance Prediction
Prediction Error
Biased
System Performance
Simulation Model
Likely
Tend
Estimate

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Software
  • Modeling and Simulation
  • Computer Science Applications

Cite this

Robbins, T. R., Medeiros, D. J., & Harrison, T. P. (2010). Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers? In Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10 (pp. 2853-2864). [05678980] (Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference). https://doi.org/10.1109/WSC.2010.5678980
Robbins, Thomas R. ; Medeiros, D. J. ; Harrison, Terry Paul. / Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers?. Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10. 2010. pp. 2853-2864 (Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference).
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Robbins, TR, Medeiros, DJ & Harrison, TP 2010, Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers? in Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10., 05678980, Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference, pp. 2853-2864, 2010 43rd Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10, Baltimore, MD, United States, 12/5/10. https://doi.org/10.1109/WSC.2010.5678980

Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers? / Robbins, Thomas R.; Medeiros, D. J.; Harrison, Terry Paul.

Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10. 2010. p. 2853-2864 05678980 (Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

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Robbins TR, Medeiros DJ, Harrison TP. Does the Erlang C model fit in real call centers? In Proceedings of the 2010 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC'10. 2010. p. 2853-2864. 05678980. (Proceedings - Winter Simulation Conference). https://doi.org/10.1109/WSC.2010.5678980