Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling: A case study of flood risk management in New Orleans

Martin Vezér, Alexander Bakker, Klaus Keller, Nancy Tuana

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Designing decision analytical models requires making choices that can involve a range of trade-offs and interactions between epistemic and ethical considerations. Such choices include determining the complexity of a model and deciding what types of risk will be assessed. Here, we demonstrate how model design choices can involve trade-offs between the epistemic benefits of representational completeness and simplicity, which interact with ethical considerations about fairness and human life. We illustrate this point by focusing on modeling studies that assess flood risks in New Orleans, Louisiana. Addressing the ethical and epistemic implications of model design choices can help clarify the scope of factors necessary to inform ethically sound and economically efficient decision-making.

Original languageEnglish (US)
JournalClimatic Change
Volume147
Issue number1-2
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 1 2018

Fingerprint

modeling
decision making
decision
risk management

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Global and Planetary Change
  • Atmospheric Science

Cite this

@article{ce61ab307efb4425b9b2d01a61c95b36,
title = "Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling: A case study of flood risk management in New Orleans",
abstract = "Designing decision analytical models requires making choices that can involve a range of trade-offs and interactions between epistemic and ethical considerations. Such choices include determining the complexity of a model and deciding what types of risk will be assessed. Here, we demonstrate how model design choices can involve trade-offs between the epistemic benefits of representational completeness and simplicity, which interact with ethical considerations about fairness and human life. We illustrate this point by focusing on modeling studies that assess flood risks in New Orleans, Louisiana. Addressing the ethical and epistemic implications of model design choices can help clarify the scope of factors necessary to inform ethically sound and economically efficient decision-making.",
author = "Martin Vez{\'e}r and Alexander Bakker and Klaus Keller and Nancy Tuana",
year = "2018",
month = "3",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1007/s10584-017-2123-9",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "147",
journal = "Climatic Change",
issn = "0165-0009",
publisher = "Springer Netherlands",
number = "1-2",

}

Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling : A case study of flood risk management in New Orleans. / Vezér, Martin; Bakker, Alexander; Keller, Klaus; Tuana, Nancy.

In: Climatic Change, Vol. 147, No. 1-2, 01.03.2018.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

TY - JOUR

T1 - Epistemic and ethical trade-offs in decision analytical modelling

T2 - A case study of flood risk management in New Orleans

AU - Vezér, Martin

AU - Bakker, Alexander

AU - Keller, Klaus

AU - Tuana, Nancy

PY - 2018/3/1

Y1 - 2018/3/1

N2 - Designing decision analytical models requires making choices that can involve a range of trade-offs and interactions between epistemic and ethical considerations. Such choices include determining the complexity of a model and deciding what types of risk will be assessed. Here, we demonstrate how model design choices can involve trade-offs between the epistemic benefits of representational completeness and simplicity, which interact with ethical considerations about fairness and human life. We illustrate this point by focusing on modeling studies that assess flood risks in New Orleans, Louisiana. Addressing the ethical and epistemic implications of model design choices can help clarify the scope of factors necessary to inform ethically sound and economically efficient decision-making.

AB - Designing decision analytical models requires making choices that can involve a range of trade-offs and interactions between epistemic and ethical considerations. Such choices include determining the complexity of a model and deciding what types of risk will be assessed. Here, we demonstrate how model design choices can involve trade-offs between the epistemic benefits of representational completeness and simplicity, which interact with ethical considerations about fairness and human life. We illustrate this point by focusing on modeling studies that assess flood risks in New Orleans, Louisiana. Addressing the ethical and epistemic implications of model design choices can help clarify the scope of factors necessary to inform ethically sound and economically efficient decision-making.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85039543163&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85039543163&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1007/s10584-017-2123-9

DO - 10.1007/s10584-017-2123-9

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85039543163

VL - 147

JO - Climatic Change

JF - Climatic Change

SN - 0165-0009

IS - 1-2

ER -