Evidence for Range Contraction of Snowshoe Hare in Pennsylvania

Duane R Diefenbach, Stephen L. Rathbun, Justin K. Vreeland, Deborah Grove, William J. Kanapaux

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

8 Scopus citations

Abstract

In Pennsylvania, Lepus americanus (Snowshoe Hare) is near the southern limits of its range and at risk of range contraction because of loss of early-successional forest and impacts of climate change. We used hunter-harvest data to investigate changes in the distribution of Snowshoe Hare in Pennsylvania (1983-2011), forest inventory and land-use data to assess changes in amount and distribution of early-successional forest (1988-2011), and occupancy modeling (2004) to identify habitat and climate variables that explain the current distribution of Snowshoe Hare. We determined presence of Snowshoe Hare based on visual sightings, observations of tracks, and DNA analysis of fecal pellets, and used repeated visits to sampling sites and occupancy models to estimate occupancy rates (Ψ). Hunter-harvest data indicated the range of Snowshoe Hare in Pennsylvania contracted towards northwestern and northeastern portions of the state. Based on occupancy modeling, Snowshoe Hare were most likely to occupy early-successional and mixed deciduous-coniferous forest types and areas with colder winter temperatures, which coincided with the distribution of hunter harvests. Among the 4 forest types, we estimated Ψ = 0.52-0.79 and Ψ = 0.10-0.32 where winter temperatures were coldest and warmest, respectively. Total forest loss was <1% during 1988-2011, and the loss of early-successional forest in the current and former range of Snowshoe Hares was similar as were mean patch size and a fragmentation metric of early-successional habitat. Thus, changes in forest characteristics did not explain the range contraction we observed. We used climate-model predictions and our occupancy model to predict that average occupancy probability across northern Pennsylvania may decline from 0.27 in 2004 to 0.10-0.18 by 2050-2059, depending on the climate model. The range of Snowshoe Hare in Pennsylvania has contracted to regions of Pennsylvania with the coldest winter temperatures and most persistent snowpack, and based on projected climate change, our results suggest further range contraction of Snowshoe Hare in Pennsylvania.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)229-248
Number of pages20
JournalNortheastern Naturalist
Volume23
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2016

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Evidence for Range Contraction of Snowshoe Hare in Pennsylvania'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

  • Cite this

    Diefenbach, D. R., Rathbun, S. L., Vreeland, J. K., Grove, D., & Kanapaux, W. J. (2016). Evidence for Range Contraction of Snowshoe Hare in Pennsylvania. Northeastern Naturalist, 23(2), 229-248. https://doi.org/10.1656/045.023.0205