Financial intermediation and aggregate fluctuations: A quantitative analysis

Russell Wade Cooper, João Ejarque

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

8 Scopus citations

Abstract

We investigate the quantitative behavior of business-cycle models in which the intermediation process acts either as a source of fluctuations or as a propagator of real shocks. In neither case do we find convincing evidence that the intermediation process is an important element of aggregate fluctuations. For an economy driven by intermediation shocks, consumption is not smoother than output, investment is negatively correlated with output, variations in the capital stock are quite large, and interest rates are procyclical. The model economy thus fails to match unconditional moments for the U.S. economy. We also structurally estimate parameters of a model economy in which intermediation and productivity shocks are present, allowing for the intermediation process to propagate the real shock. The unconditional correlations are closer to those observed only when the intermediation shock is relatively unimportant.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)423-447
Number of pages25
JournalMacroeconomic Dynamics
Volume4
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2000

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Economics and Econometrics

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