@article{b56d4e65081d44658cef9896ebddb254,
title = "Forecasted attribution of the human influence on Hurricane Florence",
abstract = "Changes in extreme weather, such as tropical cyclones, are one of the most serious ways society experiences the impact of climate change. Advance forecasted conditional attribution statements, using a numerical model, were made about the anthropogenic climate change influence on an individual tropical cyclone, Hurricane Florence. Mean total overland rainfall amounts associated with the forecasted storm{\textquoteright}s core were increased by 4.9 ± 4.6% with local maximum amounts experiencing increases of 3.8 ± 5.7% due to climate change. A slight increase in the forecasted storm size of 1 to 2% was also attributed. This work reviews our forecasted attribution statement with the benefit of hindsight, demonstrating credibility of advance attribution statements for tropical cyclones.",
author = "Reed, {K. A.} and Stansfield, {A. M.} and Wehner, {M. F.} and Zarzycki, {C. M.}",
note = "Funding Information: K.A.R. and A.M.S. were partially supported by the Stony Brook Foundation{\textquoteright}s Minghua Zhang Early Career Faculty Innovation Fund. M.F.W. was partially supported by the Department of Energy{\textquoteright}s Office of Science under contract number DE-AC02-05CH11231. This document was prepared as an account of work partially sponsored by the U.S. government. While this document is believed to contain correct information, neither the U.S. government nor any agency thereof, nor the Regents of the University of California, nor any of their employees makes any warranty, express or implied; assumes any legal responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed; or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by its trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the U.S. government or any agency thereof or the Regents of the University of California. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the U.S. government, any agency thereof, or the Regents of the University of California. C.M.Z. was supported by the NSF, which sponsors the National Center for Atmospheric Research. Publisher Copyright: Copyright {\textcopyright} 2020 The Authors, some rights reserved;",
year = "2020",
month = jan,
day = "1",
doi = "10.1126/sciadv.aaw9253",
language = "English (US)",
volume = "6",
journal = "Science advances",
issn = "2375-2548",
publisher = "American Association for the Advancement of Science",
number = "1",
}