Global population dynamics and hot spots of response to climate change

Eric Post, Jedediah Brodie, Mark Hebblewhite, Angela D. Anders, Julie A.K. Maier, Christopher C. Wilmers

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

44 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Understanding how biotic and abiotic factors influence the abundance and distribution of organisms has become more important with the growing awareness of the ecological consequences of climate change. In this article, we outline an approach that complements bioclimatic envelope modeling in quantifying the effects of climate change at the species level. The global population dynamics approach, which relies on distribution-wide, datadriven analyses of dynamics, goes beyond quantifying biotic interactions in population dynamics to identify hot spots of response to climate change. Such hot spots highlight populations or locations within species' distributions that are particularly sensitive to climate change, and identification of them should focus conservation and management efforts. An important result of the analyses highlighted here is pronounced variation at the species level in the strength and direction of population responses to warming. Although this variation complicates species-level predictions of responses to climate change, the global population dynamics approach may improve our understanding of the complex implications of climate change for species persistence or extinction.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)489-497
Number of pages9
JournalBioScience
Volume59
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 1 2009

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Climate Change
Population Dynamics
population dynamics
climate change
Population
environmental impact
complement
extinction
biogeography
environmental factors
prediction
organisms

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Agricultural and Biological Sciences(all)

Cite this

Post, E., Brodie, J., Hebblewhite, M., Anders, A. D., Maier, J. A. K., & Wilmers, C. C. (2009). Global population dynamics and hot spots of response to climate change. BioScience, 59(6), 489-497. https://doi.org/10.1525/bio.2009.59.6.7
Post, Eric ; Brodie, Jedediah ; Hebblewhite, Mark ; Anders, Angela D. ; Maier, Julie A.K. ; Wilmers, Christopher C. / Global population dynamics and hot spots of response to climate change. In: BioScience. 2009 ; Vol. 59, No. 6. pp. 489-497.
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Post, E, Brodie, J, Hebblewhite, M, Anders, AD, Maier, JAK & Wilmers, CC 2009, 'Global population dynamics and hot spots of response to climate change', BioScience, vol. 59, no. 6, pp. 489-497. https://doi.org/10.1525/bio.2009.59.6.7

Global population dynamics and hot spots of response to climate change. / Post, Eric; Brodie, Jedediah; Hebblewhite, Mark; Anders, Angela D.; Maier, Julie A.K.; Wilmers, Christopher C.

In: BioScience, Vol. 59, No. 6, 01.06.2009, p. 489-497.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

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Post E, Brodie J, Hebblewhite M, Anders AD, Maier JAK, Wilmers CC. Global population dynamics and hot spots of response to climate change. BioScience. 2009 Jun 1;59(6):489-497. https://doi.org/10.1525/bio.2009.59.6.7