How offender decision-making can inform policing: A focus on the perceived certainty of apprehension

Chae M. Jaynes, Thomas A. Loughran

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter

Abstract

Empirical evidence suggests that the perceived certainty of apprehension is a far more effective deterrent than the severity of sanctioning. In concordance with this, many policing strategies have focused on increasing the certainty of apprehension as a key tactic in crime reduction. This chapter describes how recent advances in criminological understanding of perceived certainty are thought to influence offender decision-making. We then illustrate how these findings may inform policing and suggest potential avenues for collaborations between researchers and practitioners to further enhance understanding of offender decision-making and guide evidence-based policing.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationAdvanced Sciences and Technologies for Security Applications
PublisherSpringer
Pages3-18
Number of pages16
DOIs
StatePublished - 2020

Publication series

NameAdvanced Sciences and Technologies for Security Applications
ISSN (Print)1613-5113
ISSN (Electronic)2363-9466

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
  • Safety Research
  • Political Science and International Relations
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Computer Networks and Communications
  • Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis

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