Modelling risk and uncertainty with the analytic hierarchy process

Ido Millet, William C. Wedley

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

80 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper proposes methods for modelling risk and uncertainty with the analytic hierarchy process (AHP). We start by showing why benefit/risk ratios, as described in previous literature, might be an improper modelling approach. We then introduce prototypical case studies where risk plays a role in multicriteria decision making. These cases demonstrate how the AHP can be used to derive relative probabilities, multiple criteria outcome measures, risk criteria, and risk adjustment factors.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)97-107
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
Volume11
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2002

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Decision Sciences(all)
  • Strategy and Management

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