Notes and correspondence: Comments on "A surrogate ensemble study of climate reconstruction methods: Stochasticity and Robustness"

Scott D. Rutherfo, Michael E. Mann, Caspar M. Ammann, Eugene R. Wahl

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Abstract

In a recent paper, Christiansen et al. compared climate reconstruction methods using surrogate ensembles from a coupled general circulation model and pseudoproxies. Their results using the regularized expectation maximization method with truncated total least squares (RegEM-TTLS) appear inconsistent with previous studies. Results presented here show that the poor performance of RegEM-TTLS in Christiansen et al. is due to 1) their use of the nonhybrid method compared to the hybrid method; 2) a stagnation tolerance that is too large and does not permit the solution to stabilize, which is compounded in another paper by Christiansen et al. by the introduction of an inappropriate measure of stagnation; and 3) their use of a truncation parameter that is too large. Thus, the poor performance of RegEM-TTLS in both Christiansen et al. papers is due to poor implementation of the method rather than to shortcomings inherent to the method.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)2832-2838
Number of pages7
JournalJournal of Climate
Volume23
Issue number10
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 1 2010

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All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Atmospheric Science

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