Oil and autocratic regime survival

Joseph Wright, Erica Frantz, Barbara Geddes

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

76 Scopus citations

Abstract

This article uncovers a new mechanism linking oil wealth to autocratic regime survival: the investigation tests whether increases in oil wealth improve the survival of autocracies by lowering the chances of democratization, reducing the risk of transition to subsequent dictatorship, or both. Using a new measure of autocratic durability shows that, once models allow for unit effects, oil wealth promotes autocratic survival by lowering the risk of ouster by rival autocratic groups. Evidence also indicates that oil income increases military spending in dictatorships, which suggests that increasing oil wealth may deter coups that could have caused a regime collapse.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)287-306
Number of pages20
JournalBritish Journal of Political Science
Volume45
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 26 2013

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Sociology and Political Science

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