Papers of note: Involving humans in the ensemble forecasting of severe weather

Victor Homar, David Jonathan Stensrud, J. J. Levit, D. R. Bright

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The NOAA SPC/NSSL Spring Program 2003 tested an ensemble generation method in which human forecasters were involved in the ensemble creation process. A customized ensemble provided guidance on the severe weather threat over the following 48 h. Using an adjoint, a set of perturbations was obtained and used to generate a 32-member ensemble. Results show that the experimental ensemble improves upon the operational numerical forecasts of severe weather and produces better probabilistic forecasts of heavy precipitation.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1022-1023
Number of pages2
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume87
Issue number8
StatePublished - Aug 1 2006

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Atmospheric Science

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