Promises in Air-Sea Fully Coupled Data Assimilation for Future Hurricane Prediction

Fuqing Zhang, Kerry Emanuel

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

Abstract

The recent article by Li and Toumi (2018, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079677) published in Geophysical Research Letters explored the potential for improving tropical cyclone intensity forecasts by assimilating synthetic coastal surface currents from high-frequency radar observations. Although it is an idealized study using simulated observations, this may signal the beginning of a new frontier in future hurricane prediction through ingesting in situ and remotely sensed observations of oceanic currents into fully coupled systems. Assimilation of oceanic observations can improve not only the state estimation of both oceanic and atmospheric variables but it also has the potential to better estimate uncertain model physics' parameters such as the air-sea exchange coefficients.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)13,173-13,177
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume45
Issue number23
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 16 2018

Fingerprint

oceanic current
hurricanes
assimilation
tropical cyclone
data assimilation
hurricane
physics
radar
air
prediction
predictions
state estimation
radar tracking
cyclones
forecasting
coefficients
estimates
forecast
in situ
parameter

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Geophysics
  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)

Cite this

Zhang, Fuqing ; Emanuel, Kerry. / Promises in Air-Sea Fully Coupled Data Assimilation for Future Hurricane Prediction. In: Geophysical Research Letters. 2018 ; Vol. 45, No. 23. pp. 13,173-13,177.
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Promises in Air-Sea Fully Coupled Data Assimilation for Future Hurricane Prediction. / Zhang, Fuqing; Emanuel, Kerry.

In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, No. 23, 16.12.2018, p. 13,173-13,177.

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

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