Testing the fidelity of methods used in proxy-based reconstructions of past climate

Michael E. Mann, Scott Rutherford, Eugene Wahl, Caspar Ammann

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

121 Scopus citations

Abstract

Two widely used statistical approaches to reconstructing past climate histories from climate "proxy" data such as tree rings, corals, and ice cores are investigated using synthetic "pseudoproxy" data derived from a simulation of forced climate changes over the past 1200 yr. These experiments suggest that both statistical approaches should yield reliable reconstructions of the true climate history within estimated uncertainties, given estimates of the signal and noise attributes of actual proxy data networks.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)4097-4107
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of Climate
Volume18
Issue number20
DOIs
StatePublished - Oct 15 2005

All Science Journal Classification (ASJC) codes

  • Atmospheric Science

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